Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019934 0.023226 0.026860 0.031163 0.036116 0.041634 0.048244
2025-11-09 0.014577 0.018722 0.023725 0.030191 0.038310 0.048146 0.060948
2025-11-16 0.011378 0.015908 0.021819 0.030054 0.041189 0.055674 0.075887
2025-11-23 0.008900 0.013429 0.019761 0.029194 0.042808 0.061648 0.089582
2025-11-30 0.007692 0.012413 0.019428 0.030503 0.047418 0.072110 0.110669
2025-12-07 0.006458 0.011091 0.018374 0.030503 0.050007 0.079892 0.128800
2025-12-14 0.005298 0.009649 0.016859 0.029481 0.050774 0.084895 0.143193
2025-12-21 0.004508 0.008668 0.015904 0.029166 0.052540 0.091549 0.160851
2025-12-28 0.004154 0.008387 0.016077 0.030760 0.057663 0.104205 0.189781
2026-01-04 0.003750 0.007937 0.015868 0.031612 0.061547 0.115131 0.216905
2026-01-11 0.003200 0.007100 0.014802 0.030699 0.062054 0.120104 0.233948
2026-01-18 0.002803 0.006502 0.014102 0.030372 0.063584 0.127035 0.255225
2026-01-25 0.002395 0.005817 0.013139 0.029415 0.063823 0.131696 0.273026
2026-02-01 0.002068 0.005254 0.012343 0.028684 0.064419 0.137104 0.292895
2026-02-08 0.001842 0.004882 0.011904 0.028651 0.066452 0.145578 0.319801
2026-02-15 0.001597 0.004418 0.011183 0.027878 0.066774 0.150553 0.340028
2026-02-22 0.001509 0.004337 0.011343 0.029157 0.071821 0.166023 0.384063
2026-03-01 0.001360 0.004063 0.010993 0.029169 0.073958 0.175410 0.415888
2026-03-08 0.001179 0.003671 0.010286 0.028197 0.073638 0.179291 0.435879
2026-03-15 0.001054 0.003408 0.009870 0.027898 0.074906 0.186898 0.465109
2026-03-22 0.001018 0.003403 0.010141 0.029428 0.080916 0.206172 0.523414
2026-03-29 0.000956 0.003307 0.010145 0.030246 0.085206 0.221786 0.574578
2026-04-05 0.000840 0.003020 0.009566 0.029371 0.084959 0.226337 0.599413